Independent Spirit Awards 2018 Nominations Predictions

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Best Feature
Call Me By Your Name
The Florida Project
Lady Bird
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

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Best Director
Sean Baker, The Florida Project
Greta Gerwig, Lady Bird
Guillermo Del Toro, The Shape of Water
Luca Gudagnino, Call Me By Your Name
Jordan Peele, Get Out

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Best Actor
Timothee Chalamet, Call Me By Your Name
James Franco, The Disaster Artist
Robert Pattinson, Good Time
Jeremy Renner, Wind River
Harry Dean Stanton, Lucky

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Best Actress
Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water
Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Aubrey Plaza, Ingrid Goes West
Margot Robbie, I, Tonya
Saorise Ronan, Lady Bird

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Best Supporting Actor
Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project
Armie Hammer, Call Me By Your Name
Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Ray Romano, The Big Sick
Michael Stuhlbarg, Call Me By Your Name

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Best Supporting Actress
Holly Hunter, The Big Sick
Allison Janney, I, Tonya
Melissa Leo, Novitiate
Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird
Bria Vinatie, The Florida Project

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Best Screenplay
Call Me By Your Name
The Big Sick
Get Out
Lady Bird
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

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Best First Feature
Columbus
Get Out
Ingrid Goes West
Patti Cakes
Wind River

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Best First Screenplay
The Big Sick
Brigsby Bear
Ingrid Goes West
Novitiate
Patti Cakes

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Best Cinematography
Call Me By Your Name
The Florida Project
The Lost City of Z
The Shape of Water
Wonderstruck

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Best Editing
Call Me By Your Name
Get Out
Good Time
The Shape of Water
The Florida Project

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The Robert Altman Award
Mudbound

The Independent Spirit Awards 2018 Nominations are announced tomorrow (21st November 2017).

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FINAL 69th Primetime Emmy Awards Predictions

Comedy Categories

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Outstanding Comedy Series: Veep
Outstanding Lead Actress: Julia Louis-Dreyfus- Veep
Outstanding Lead Actor: Jeffrey Tambor- Transparent
Outstanding Supporting Actress: Kate McKinnon- Saturday Night Live
Outstanding Supporting Actor: Alec Baldwin- Saturday Night Live
Outstanding Directing: Groundbreaking- Veep
Outstanding Writing: Thanksgiving- Master of None

Drama Categories

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Outstanding Drama Series: Stranger Things
Outstanding Lead Actress: Elisabeth Moss- The Handmaid’s Tale
Outstanding Lead Actor: Bob Odenkirk- Better Call Saul
Outstanding Supporting Actress: Thandie Newton- Westworld
Outstanding Supporting Actor: John Lithgow- The Crown
Outstanding Directing: The Vanishing of Will Byers- Stranger Things
Outstanding Writing: Offred- The Handmaid’s Tale

Limited Series/Television Movie Categories

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Outstanding Limited Series: Big Little Lies
Outstanding Television Movie: The Wizard of Lies
Outstanding Lead Actress: Nicole Kidman- Big Little Lies
Outstanding Lead Actor: Riz Ahmed- The Night Of
Outstanding Supporting Actress: Laura Dern- Big Little Lies
Outstanding Supporting Actor: Alexander Skarsgård- Big Little Lies
Outstanding Directing: Big Little Lies
Outstanding Writing: Big Little Lies

Variety/Reality Categories

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Outstanding Reality-Competition Programme: The Voice
Outstanding Variety Talk Series: Last Week Tonight with John Oliver
Outstanding Variety Sketch Series: Saturday Night Live
Outstanding Variety Series Directing: Saturday Night Live
Outstanding Variety Series Writing: Last Week Tonight with John Oliver

Emmy Episode Analysis #1- Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series

Anthony Anderson- Black-ish (“Lemons”)

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This is a third consecutive nomination for Anthony Anderson in this category for his portrayal of Dre Johnson on ABC’s Black-ish, something that is very much deserved, as he gives one of the most consistent comedic performances on television at the moment, in a show that is growing in popularity, acclaim, and Emmy nominations, earning a Best Comedy Series nomination for the second successive year this year. In this episode, Anderson’s Dre is dealing with the outcome of the most recent presidential election, with Dre wanting to avoid confrontation with his colleagues and trying to get on with an important sales pitch. However, when his boss accuses him of not caring about what’s going on in the country, Dre is defensive, unleashing an impassioned speech about his love for the country. Anderson’s submission is a strong one, and he is really good in the episode, despite only appearing in about half of the episode, as Black-ish is a very ensemble driven show. Towards the end of the episode is where he really shines, with a couple of really strong monologues, adding emotional weight to what is a very impressive episode overall. He could be in with a very good chance of winning this year.

Aziz Ansari- Master of None (“The Dinner Party”)

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Fresh off his first acting nomination last year, Aziz Ansari returns to this category for his portrayal of Dev Shah in the second season of Netflix’s Master of None. Also a writer, producer, and occasional director of the show, it has been Ansari’s breakthrough from character actor and comedian, to bona fide star, winning his first Emmy last year for writing the episode “Parents”. In this episode, Ansari’s Dev is invited to a dinner party at the home of his boss ‘Chef’ Jeff, played excellently by Bobby Cannavale, and decides to take his friend from when he lived in Italy, Francesca, played by Alessandra Mastronardi, which creates some flirtatious tension between the two. While he probably has more dramatic acting range in episodes later on in the season, this is a really good submission for Ansari, as he is fun, charming, executes some good range, and really stands out as the focal point of the episode, which isn’t necessarily the case with some of his fellow nominee’s episodes. We see him in his hosting gig on “Clash of the Cupcakes”, execute some fine chemistry with his co-stars, which allows some range as we see how Dev acts differently with his friends, and when he’s on a date, and also the episode ends in what is the defining moment of the entire season, with an almost entirely continuous shot of him sitting in the back of a taxi, which is really well executed. I can’t see him winning unfortunately, but this episode definitely puts him into contention.

Zach Galifianakis- Baskets (“Freaks”)

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After missing out on a nomination last year, Zach Galifianakis has broken through into this category for dual role of brothers Chip and Dale Baskets on FX’s Baskets, in what is probably the most surprising nomination of the six. In this episode, he only portrays Chip, but we do get clips that summarise the first season of the show that include clips of Galifianakis as Dale, which helps his case as a performer of dual roles. The episode follows Galifianakis’ Chip run away from his home, go on a train, and becomes part of a group of homeless street performers, who take Chip under their wing, and allows Chip to be a clown as part of their ‘freak show’ act they perform on the streets. It’s a decent submission for Galifianakis as he gets both comedic and dramatic content, which allows him to showcase his range as an actor, and lets him pull off his trademark physical humour to excellent effect, including a scene in which he tries to open a can of noodles, which only an actor of the ability of Galifianakis can pull off. And with his co-star, and Emmy winner last year for Baskets, Louie Anderson only appearing in 2 scenes, at the beginning and end of the episode, it really allows Galifianakis to flourish and not get overshadowed by him, even though he does sometimes just settle into the background of some scenes with the titular ‘freaks’. I very highly doubt he’ll win, especially after missing out last year, but it’s a good submission nonetheless.

Donald Glover- Atlanta (“The Big Bang”)

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The only one of the nominees from a freshman show, Donald Glover has received his first acting Emmy nomination for his role as Earn Marks on FX’s Atlanta. Atlanta is one of the most critically acclaimed shows of the year, and has already earned Glover a Golden Globe in Best Actor in a Comedy or Musical. Glover is also nominated in Directing and Writing for his work on the show. In this episode, Glover’s Earn finds out that his cousin, Paperboy, played by Brian Tyree Henry, has released a hip hop single while on his shift at work, where he quickly goes and tracks down Paperboy in an attempt to become his new manager, and get his track played at the local radio station. While it isn’t the most engaging episode, it is a good showcase for Glover, as he comes across and likable and cool, something that will appeal to younger voters. The episode is the show’s pilot, which is a good tactic for submissions, as you don’t need context, but as it is such a niche show, and it skews young, it can be alienating for some voters. However, we already know that the show is popular among the wider academy, and Glover comes across very well, with a lovely scene with his daughter towards the end of the episode, so he could have a shot, but I have my doubts.

William H. Macy- Shameless (“You Sold Me the Laundromat, Remember?”)

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A main-stay in this category ever since the show’s switch from drama to comedy for its fourth season in 2014, William H. Macy is now the longest serving nominee in this category, with this year earning his fourth consecutive nomination in this category for his portrayal of Frank Gallagher in Showtime’s Shameless. Coming off a second Screen Actors Guild Award for Outstanding Male Performance in a Comedy Series, Macy could perhaps have his best shot at winning yet, despite his show’s lack of nominations overall. In this episode, Macy’s Frank is trying to re-establish himself as the patriarch of the family after getting his adopted son into private education, but remains banished from the house. To try and prove his worth, he breaks in and attempts to complete chores around the house, with differing degrees of success. It’s a good showcase for Macy’s skill as a physical comedian, providing what is a soapy drama with much needed comic relief, and his skills as an actor makes Frank a character that is in equal measure pathetic and sympathetic. The scenes with him towards the end of the episode with his daughter and the laundromat reinforce this, and the episode ends up with him dancing with an elderly lady. Yet, despite having the longest episode submission, with it running just under an hour, he only has limited screen time, even if he is the best part of it. He has an outside chance, but I think he’ll struggle due to the lack of popularity of the show amongst the academy.

Jeffrey Tambor- Transparent (“Elizah”)

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The reigning champion of this category of the last two years, TV veteran Jeffrey Tambor returns to this category for his career best performance as transwoman Maura Pfefferman in Amazon’s Transparent. He’s been quite a comfortable winner in both of his wins, but his work is cut out this year as the show missed out on an Outstanding Comedy Series for its third season, the first time the show hasn’t managed to score a nomination in the main category. In this episode, a somewhat of a bottle episode to open the new season, sees Tambor’s Maura in her new job as an LGBT call centre worker, in which she answers a call from a young and troubled transwoman called Elizah, and, feeling that she hasn’t helped her and feels concerned for her safety, Maura tries to track her down. It’s a really good submission for Tambor, and may be his best performance on Transparent to date. With the entire episode focussed on Maura, Tambor goes to new depths in finding out what she’s like. He portrays her as a flawed but caring individual, and his performance makes this a highlight from the show’s season. However, a concern for many is the lack of comedy in the show, and Tambor gives by far the most dramatic performance of the six, which could just as easily work in his favour as much as it hinders.

Quality of Episode:
1. Aziz Ansari
2. Jeffrey Tambor
3. Anthony Anderson
4. Zach Galifianakis
5. Donald Glover
6. William H. Macy

Likelihood of Winning:
1. Anthony Anderson
2. Jeffrey Tambor
3. Donald Glover
4. Aziz Ansari
5. William H. Macy
6. Zach Galifianakis

FINAL Primetime Emmys 2017 Nominations Predictions

Comedy Series
Blackish
Master of None
Modern Family
Silicon Valley
Transparent
Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt
Veep

Drama Series
The Americans
Better Call Saul
The Crown
The Handmaid’s Tale
House of Cards
Stranger Things
This is Us

Limited Series
American Crime
Big Little Lies
Fargo
Feud
The Night Of

TV Movie
Black Mirror
The Immortal Life of Henrietta Lacks
Killing Reagan
Sherlock
The Wizard of Lies

Comedy Actor
Anthony Anderson- Blackish
Aziz Ansari- Master of None
Donald Glover- Atlanta
William H. Macy- Shameless
Thomas Middleditch- Silicon Valley
Jeffrey Tambor- Transparent

Comedy Actress
Allison Janney- Mom
Ellie Kemper- Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt
Julia Louis-Dreyfus- Veep
Issa Rae- Insecure
Tracee Ellis Ross- Blackish
Lily Tomlin- Grace and Frankie

Comedy Supporting Actor
Louie Anderson- Baskets
Alec Baldwin- Saturday Night Live
Andre Braugher- Brooklyn Nine-Nine
Tituss Burgess- Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt
Ty Burrell- Modern Family
Tony Hale- Veep

Comedy Supporting Actress
Anna Chlumsky- Veep
Gaby Hoffmann- Transparent
Jane Krakowski- Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt
Judith Light- Transparent
Kate McKinnon- Saturday Night Live
Rita Moreno- One Day at a Time

Drama Actor
Sterling K. Brown- This is Us
Kyle Chandler- Bloodline
Rami Malek- Mr Robot
Bob Odenkirk- Better Call Saul
Live Schreiber- Ray Donovan
Kevin Spacey- House of Cards

Drama Actress
Claire Danes- Homeland
Viola Davis- How to Get Away with Murder
Claire Foy- The Crown
Elisabeth Moss- The Handmaid’s Tale
Keri Russell- The Americans
Robin Wright- House of Cards

Drama Supporting Actor
Jonathan Banks- Better Call Saul
Ron Cephas Jones- This is Us
Michael Kelly- House of Cards
John Lithgow- The Crown
Jon Voight- Ray Donovan
Jeffrey Wright- Westworld

Drama Supporting Actress
Uzo Aduba- Orange is the New Black
Millie Bobby Brown- Stranger Things
Chrissy Metz- This is Us
Thandie Newton- Westworld
Winona Ryder- Stranger Things
Maura Tierney- The Affair

Movie/Limited Series Actor
Riz Ahmed- The Night Of
Benedict Cumberbatch- Sherlock
Robert De Niro- The Wizard of Lies
Ewan McGregor- Fargo
Geoffrey Rush- Genius
John Turturro- The Night Of

Movie/Limited Series Actress
Carrie Coon- Fargo
Felicity Huffman- American Crime
Nicole Kidman- Big Little Lies
Jessica Lange- Feud
Susan Sarandon- Feud
Reese Witherspoon- Big Little Lies

Movie/Limited Series Supporting Actor
Hank Azaria- The Wizard of Lies
Martin Freeman- Sherlock
Alfred Molina- Feud
Alexander Skarsgard- Big Little Lies
David Thewlis- Fargo
Stanley Tucci- Feud

Movie/Limited Series Supporting Actress
Kathy Bates- American Horror Story: Roanoke
Judy Davis- Feud
Laura Dern- Big Little Lies
Regina King- American Crime
Sarah Paulson- American Horror Story: Roanoke
Shailene Woodley- Big Little Lies

Variety Series- Sketch
Billy in the Street
Documentary Now
Drunk History
Portlandia
Saturday Night Live

Variety Series- Talk
Jimmy Kimmel Live
Last Week Tonight with Jon Oliver
The Late Show with Stephen Colbert
The Late Late Show with James Corden
Real Time with Bill Maher
The Tonight Show with Jimmy Fallon

2017 British Academy Television Awards Predictions

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Best Actor: Robbie Coltrane- National Treasure
Best Actress: Claire Foy- The Crown
Best Supporting Actor: John Lithgow- The Crown
Best Supporting Actress: Siobhan Finneran- Happy Valley
Best Male Comedy Performance: Asim Chaudhry- People Just Do Nothing
Best Female Comedy Performance: Phoebe Waller-Bridge- Fleabag
Best Entertainment Performance: Graham Norton- The Graham Norton Show
Best Single Drama: Murdered by My Father
Best Mini-Series: National Treasure
Best Drama Series: The Crown
Best Soap and Continuing Drama: Casualty
Best International Programme: American Crime Story: The People v. O.J. Simpson
Best Factual Series or Strand: 24 Hours in Police Custody
Huw Wheldon Award for Specialist Factual: Planted Earth II
Flaherty Award for Single Documentary: Hillsborough
Best Feature: The Great British Bake Off
Best Reality and Constructed Factual: First Dates
Best Current Affairs: Unarmed Black Male- This World
Best News Coverage: BBC North West Tonight: Hillsborough Inquests
Best Sport: 2016 Rio Olympics
Best Live Event: Shakespeare Live! From the RSC
Best Entertainment Programme: Ant and Dec’s Saturday Night Takeaway
Best Scripted Comedy: Fleabag
Best Comedy and Comedy Entertainment Programme: Charlie Brooker’s Election Wipe
Virgin’s Must-See Moments: Planet Earth II – “Snakes v Iguanas Chase”

The British Academy Television Awards, hosted by Sue Perkins, are tonight (14/5/17) at 8pm on BBC One.

Oscars 2017: FINAL Predictions in All 24 Categories

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Best Picture: We all know where this is going. Probably the most clear cut Best Picture win in a long time. Prediction: La La Land.

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Best Director: I think this will go along Picture, and go to Damien Chazelle. Prediction: Damien Chazelle- La La Land.

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Best Actor: This is a real toss up. While I see the arguments for Denzel Washington, and after seeing Fences you can tell that this is a film befitting of a third acting Oscar, but something tells me that Casey Affleck is going to win this, despite his SAG defeat to Washington. Apart from that, Affleck has won pretty much everything else all season, and that should just put him over the line. Prediction: Casey Affleck- Manchester by the Sea.

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Best Actress: What was once an open race seems pretty clear cut now, after SAG, BAFTA, and the Golden Globes. I think it’s Emma Stone. Prediction: Emma Stone- La La Land.

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Best Supporting Actor: This is probably tighter than one would have first thought. When Mahershala Ali swept the critics’ awards, it was thought he’d be the default winner all season. But after Aaron Taylor-Johnson won the Golden Globe (he’s not nominated here), and Dev Patel won the Bafta (he is nominated), it shows that it’s not an easy win for Ali, but I still fancy him to win, especially after winning the SAG. Prediction: Mahershala Ali- Moonlight.

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Best Supporting Actress: This is the biggest lock of the night. Viola Davis’ time has come, and deservedly so. Prediction: Viola Davis- Fences.

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Best Original Screenplay: This is a tight race, especially with WGA going with Moonlight, which is nominated in Adapted rather than Original here. The Globes went for La La Land, BAFTA went for Manchester by the Sea. It’s a tough one, but I’m going for Manchester by the Sea. Prediction: Manchester by the Sea.

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Best Adapted Screenplay: All 5 nominees are viable candidates in their own right- Arrival and Moonlight won at WGA, Lion won at BAFTA, and both Hidden Figures and Fences are gaining momentum. I give the edge to Moonlight here though, as it’s a good place to award Barry Jenkins as he’ll lose in Director. Prediction: Moonlight.

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Best Cinematography: Even though the Cinematographer’s guild went for Lion, I still fancy La La Land to take this, especially as it still took this award at BAFTA when it lost quite a few technical categories. Prediction: La La Land.

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Best Costume Design: La La Land, Florence Foster Jenkins, and Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them are all real possibilities here, but I’m going for the BAFTA winner, Jackie, as it seems like the more traditional winner of this category. Prediction: Jackie.

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Best Editing: Hacksaw Ridge and Arrival could both upset, but I think this will be an easy win for La La Land. Prediction: La La Land.

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Best Makeup and Hairstyling: This category is such a mess. Many people are dreading a Suicide Squad win here, but it’s a real possibility. I don’t think A Man Called Ove will win. I’m going for Star Trek Beyond because the first film won this category in 2009, but it’s anyone guess. Prediction: Star Trek Beyond.

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Best Production Design: I don’t really see any viable alternatives, even though Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them won at the BAFTAs, so I think La La Land wins here by default. An Arrival upset is a possibility. Prediction: La La Land.

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Best Original Score: An easy, and very deserving, win for La La Land. Prediction: La La Land.

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Best Original Song: It looks like it’ll be City of Stars from La La Land, but I wouldn’t be shocked if there was an upset from either Moana’s How Far I’ll Go, or Can’t Stop the Feeling from Trolls. But City of Stars is a safe bet, as long as the La La Land songs don’t cancel each other out. Prediction: City of Stars- La La Land.

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Best Sound Editing: This is so difficult. I’m going for Hacksaw Ridge, but it could just as easily be either Arrival or La La Land. Just going by the logic that the ‘loudest’ film usually wins Sound Editing, I’ll stick with Hacksaw Ridge. Prediction: Hacksaw Ridge.

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Best Sound Mixing: Even though Sound Editing and Sound Mixing often go to the same film, I think I’ll stick with the musical, which often win this category, and pick La La Land. Could easily be Hacksaw Ridge or Arrival though. Prediction: La La Land.

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Best Visual Effects: The Jungle Book hasn’t really lost steam all year, and has retained its frontrunner status ever since it came out in April, so it’d be a shock for it to lose now. Prediction: The Jungle Book.

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Best Animated Feature: Even though Kubo and the Two Strings could easily take this, I think it’s safe to go for Zootopia, which has been a strong frontrunner all season, despite it’s hiccup at BAFTA. Prediction: Zootopia.

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Best Documentary Feature: This was a last minute switch for me. I’ve had 13th winning throughout the season, but after OJ: Made in America’s win at the Independent Spirit Awards over 13th, it just became clear to me that OJ will take it. 13th could easily upset though. Prediction: O.J. Made in America.

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Best Foreign Language Film: I’m not sure about this, it could go any 3 ways. The Salesman, Toni Erdmann, and A Man Called Ove all have pros and cons, but I give The Salesman the slight edge, just as it seems like it has more of a rooting factor behind it. But I’m really not sure. Prediction: The Salesman.

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Best Animated Short: I think this is between Piper and Pearl. I heard a theory last year that the animated short with the animal in it usually wins, hence why Bear Story won last year, which gives the edge to Piper, despite Pixar’s poor winning record in this category in recent years. Prediction: Piper.

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Best Documentary Short: I really want to predict Watani: My Homeland here, as I’ve had a hunch all season that it’d win, but Joe’s Violin just makes too much sense to ignore, so I’m going for that instead. The White Helmets could also take it. Prediction: Joe’s Violin.

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Best Live Action Short: Another theory I heard regarding the short categories was to pick the live action short that has a recognizable actor in, so I went for La Femme et le TGV, which features character actress Jane Birkin. I’ve been switching around this category quite a few times, as I could also see Timecode, or Sing, or any of them winning to be honest. Prediction: La Femme et le TGV.

The 89th Academy Awards, hosted by Jimmy Kimmel, are tonight (26/2/17) at 1:30am GMT.

Independent Spirit Awards 2017 Predictions

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Best Feature: Moonlight
Best Director: Barry Jenkins- Moonlight
Best Male Lead: Casey Affleck- Manchester by the Sea
Best Female Lead: Natalie Portman- Jackie
Best Supporting Actor: Lucas Hedges- Manchester by the Sea
Best Supporting Actress: Molly Shannon- Other People
Best Screenplay: Manchester by the Sea
Best First Screenplay: Other People
Best First Feature: The Witch
Best Documentary Feature: 13th
Best Cinematography: Moonlight
Best Editing: Moonlight
Best International Film: Toni Erdmann
John Cassavetes Award: Lovesong