100/1 Contenders – October 2014

OK, Some of these may be the same as my previous blog, but some have changed drastically as odds are always changing around this point of awards season, especially as films in contention are being released/premiered and we see which of them are getting the buzz from critics. All odds as of 27/10/14 and according to GoldDerby.com

Best Picture: Inherent Vice- In my previous post, I said that Whiplash was still a contender and now, a month on, it is at 33/1 and 9th favourite overall. However, Paul Thomas Anderson’s Inherent Vice has gone the other way and is now finding itself at 100/1, despite some positive reviews from NYFF. With an all-star cast including Joaquin Phoenix, Josh Brolin and Reese Witherspoon, this has to be in contention.

Best Director: Clint Eastwood, American Sniper- With new footage released, American Sniper is a late contender and could score some major nominations. The trailer for this film is probably the best of the year and after his so-so musical Jersey Boys, Eastwood looks like he is back on form and could be nominated for the first time since 2006, despite Best Director being one of the most competitive categories.

Best Actor: Jack O’Connell, Unbroken- This is the same as last time because I really do think that Jack O’Connell has more of a shot than people are giving him credit for. Unbroken currently stands 3rd in the Best Picture race and as it is a biopic, it is heavily reliant on a strong central performance, that I’m sure O’Connell can deliver. It’s a packed field of top talent with 4 all but sure things, but O’Connell is still in with a chance of a nomination.

Best Actress: Emily Blunt, Into the Woods- Emily Blunt has found herself onto the Hollywood A-List this year after her hit blockbuster Edge of Tomorrow and, if Into the Woods is a critical success, she could be in with a chance of an Oscar nod. She’s currently second in the running at the Golden Globes but she has less of a chance as all 5 slots look like they have been filled in this category, but she’s still in with a shout.

Best Supporting Actor: Miyavi, Unbroken- Last time, I chose Domnhall Gleeson in this category for the same film but after seeing the second trailer that has been released, it shows that Miyavi has a much larger and much showier role. Miyavi portrays Mutsuhiro Watanabe who had a major influence of Louis Zamperini’s time at the Japanese prisoner of war camps and looks like his role may be similar to Michael Fassbender’s in 12 Years a Slave that got him a nomination and was, in my personal opinion, the best performance of last year.

Best Supporting Actress: Katherine Waterston, Inherent Vice- In her first major role, Waterston is getting a lot of buzz and support online for her performance in Inherent Vice. As she is a newcomer she is less likely to be nominted but if she delivers a strong enough performance, she could have a shot, despite tough competition.

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