Screen Actors Guild Awards 2017 Predictions

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Best Ensemble: Moonlight

Best Actor: Casey Affleck- Manchester by the Sea

Best Actress: Emma Stone- La La Land

Best Supporting Actor: Mahershala Ali- Moonlight

Best Supporting Actress: Viola Davis- Fences

Best Stunt Ensemble: Hacksaw Ridge

Television Awards

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Best Drama Ensemble: Game of Thrones

Best Actor in a Drama Series: Rami Malek- Mr. Robot

Best Actress in a Drama Series: Claire Foy- The Crown

Best Comedy Ensemble: Veep

Best Actor in a Comedy Series: Jeffrey Tambor- Transparent

Best Actress in a Comedy Series: Julia Louis-Dreyfus- Veep

Best Actor in a Movie or Mini-Series: Courtney B. Vance- The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story

Best Actress in a Movie or Mini-Series: Sarah Paulson- The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story

Best Stunt Ensemble: Game of Thrones

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10 Talking Points from the 89th Academy Awards Nominations

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1. You might as well give La La Land Best Picture now- After scoring a record-equaling 14 nominations, La La Land is the most clear cut frontrunner we’ve had for Best Picture for many years. It’s pretty much unstoppable, and I wouldn’t bother predicting anything else to be honest.

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2. Though it was a very good day for Moonlight and Manchester by the Sea- It was a strong showing for the indie darlings at this year’s nominations, as Moonlight managed to score an impressive 8 nominations, while Manchester by the Sea scored a respectable 6, all coming in above the line categories. However, I think the rewards for the films will be coming in the acting categories- with Mahershala Ali winning for Moonlight in Best Supporting Actor, and Casey Affleck winning for Manchester by the Sea in Best Actor.

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3. Hell or High Water and Hacksaw Ridge cementing their positions as dark horses- I mentioned after the Critics’ Choice nominations, and the Golden Globe nominations, that these two films were ones to watch- and they’ve really delivered this season, much more than we originally expected early on in the season. Not only did they both get Best Picture nods, but HoHW getting into Best Editing, Original Screenplay, and Supporting Actor for Jeff Bridges, and Hacksaw Ridge getting into Best Editing, Director for Mel Gibson, and an overdue first nomination for Andrew Garfield, both their campaigns have to be applauded for sure.

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4. Arrival excels- but that Amy Adams snub stings- With the joint second most nominations with 8, tying with Moonlight, this sci-fi drama had a good showing, even though the notable snub of star Amy Adams is one that really hurts fans of the film, such as myself. That miss pretty much hands Best Actress to Emma Stone, as she remains the only contender in a Best Picture nominee. Still a good day for Arrival, that got big nods in Director and Editing, but may easily pull an American Hustle, or The Martian, in getting zero wins for it’s multiple nods.

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5. The Acting Branch recognise under the radar hits- While it’s pretty safe to say that the acting winners will probably come from Best Picture frontrunners (Manchester by the Sea, La La Land, Moonlight, Fences, etc.), the acting branch still managed to save room for performances from films that didn’t receive citation elsewhere, as Captain Fantastic (Viggo Mortensen), Loving (Ruth Negga), Elle (Isabelle Huppert), and Nocturnal Animals (Michael Shannon), all got their film’s only nominations in the acting categories, which is good to see as it shows a bit more creativity than just picking actors from the films they like.

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6. Some of the same traits are still in the Academy- There are few things we’ve learned from the Oscar nominations every year, and they were back in force proving us right yet again. The first of them, which is how I got my 100/1 outsider “No Guts No Glory” pick right, is that they love songs from documentaries- with this year’s contender being “The Empty Chair” from Jim: The James Foley Story. The second is the random film included in the 7-film bake off for Makeup and Hairstyling getting in- last year it was “The 100 Year Old Man…”, this year it was “A Man Called Ove”. And the third was the “well they made it this far inclusion” getting in, this year coming in the shape of Kubo and the Two Strings in Best Visual Effects, and Suicide Squad in Best Makeup and Hairstyling.

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7. Guilds prove once again to be better predictors than Precursors- If you are ever not sure what to pick for the Oscars, look at what the guilds picked. That’s always been the rule, and was proven again correct this year. That was clear to see in Best Picture, where all 9 nominees were also nominated at PGA, and in Cinematography where all 5 nominees matched up with ASC. Also, in the acting categories, 17 out of the 20 nominees were nominated at SAG (which is the same as the number 2 years ago), with only Emily Blunt, Amy Adams, and Hugh Grant missing out in favour of Isabelle Huppert (Globe winner+BFCA nominee), Ruth Negga (Globe+BFCA nominee), and Michael Shannon (BFCA nominee).

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8. Diversity makes headlines- After the last two years of #OscarsSoWhite, it was refreshing to see such a diverse lineup this year. After the last 40 acting nominees all being white, it’s nice to see 7 POC nominated in the acting categories (Denzel Washington, Ruth Negga, Mahershala Ali, Dev Patel, Viola Davis, Naomie Harris, and Octavia Spencer), with a POC nominated in every acting category, as well as having POC representation in Best Picture, Director, Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography, and Editing.

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9. Best Visual Effects offers some questions- Following Ex Machina’s jaw-dropping victory in this category at last year’s ceremony, anything can happen in Visual Effects, and what was notable about this year’s nominees is that none of these come from Best Picture nominees, which has only happened once in the last 8 years. My money is on The Jungle Book, though it is the film’s only nomination, which could see Rogue One, Doctor Strange, or even Kubo take this. It’s a tough one to call.

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10. Prepare yourself for a boring ceremony- With La La Land so out front, and with it more than likely winning 11 Oscars on the night, this won’t nearly be as exciting as ceremonies past, where we are on the edge of our seats until the last minute. This is by no means taking aim at the film, but it will likely be a pretty boring ceremony, especially as many people found Mad Max: Fury Road winning 6 below the line Oscars last year dull. Let’s hope for some creativity in the winners, as we’ve seen a few glimpses of what the academy can do with their picks today.

The 89th Academy Awards, hosted by Jimmy Kimmel, are on Sunday 29th February 2017.

FINAL 89th Academy Awards Nominations Predictions

*All predictions are in alphabetical order, not ranked.

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Best Picture
Arrival
Fences
Hacksaw Ridge
Hell or High Water
Hidden Figures
La La Land
Lion
Manchester by the Sea
Moonlight
Nocturnal Animals (if there’s 10)

Alternate: Silence.

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Best Director
Damien Chazelle- La La Land
Barry Jenkins- Moonlight
Kenneth Lonergan- Manchester by the Sea
David Mackenzie- Hell or High Water
Denis Villeneuve- Arrival

Alternate: Garth Davis- Lion

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Best Actor
Casey Affleck- Manchester by the Sea
Andrew Garfield- Hacksaw Ridge
Ryan Gosling- La La Land
Viggo Mortensen- Captain Fantastic
Denzel Washington- Fences

Alternate: Joel Edgerton- Loving

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Best Actress
Amy Adams- Arrival
Isabelle Huppert- Elle
Natalie Portman- Jackie
Emma Stone- La La Land
Meryl Streep- Florence Foster Jenkins

Alternate: Ruth Negga- Loving

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Best Supporting Actor
Mahershala Ali- Moonlight
Jeff Bridges- Hell or High Water
Hugh Grant- Florence Foster Jenkins
Lucas Hedges- Manchester by the Sea
Dev Patel- Lion

Alternate: Aaron Taylor-Johnson- Nocturnal Animals

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Best Supporting Actress
Viola Davis- Fences
Naomie Harris- Moonlight
Nicole Kidman- Lion
Octavia Spencer- Hidden Figures
Michelle Williams- Manchester by the Sea

Alternate: Greta Gerwig- 20th Century Women

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Best Original Screenplay
Captain Fantastic
Hell or High Water
La La Land
The Lobster
Manchester by the Sea

Alternate: 20th Century Women

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Best Adapted Screenplay
Arrival
Lion
Hidden Figures
Moonlight
Nocturnal Animals

Alternate: Fences

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Best Cinematography
Arrival
La La Land
Lion
Moonlight
Silence

Alternate: Nocturnal Animals

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Best Costume Design
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
Florence Foster Jenkins
Hidden Figures
Jackie
La La Land

Alternate: Allied

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Best Editing
Arrival
Hacksaw Ridge
La La Land
Manchester by the Sea
Moonlight

Alternate: Hell or High Water

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Best Makeup and Hairstyling
Deadpool
Florence Foster Jenkins
A Man Called Ove

Alternate: Star Trek Beyond

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Best Production Design
Arrival
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
Hidden Figures
Jackie
La La Land

Alternate: Hail, Caesar!

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Best Original Score
Jackie
La La Land
Lion
Moonlight
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

Alternate: Hidden Figures

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Best Original Song
Audition (The Fools Who Dream)- La La Land
City of Stars- La La Land
The Empty Chair- Jim: The James Foley Story
How Far I’ll Go- Moana
Runnin’- Hidden Figures

Alternate: Can’t Stop the Feeling- Trolls

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Best Sound Editing
Arrival
Deepwater Horizon
Hacksaw Ridge
La La Land
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

Alternate: Sully

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Best Sound Mixing
Arrival
Hacksaw Ridge
The Jungle Book
La La Land
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

Alternate: Deepwater Horizon

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Best Visual Effects
Arrival
Doctor Strange
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
The Jungle Book
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

Alternate: Deepwater Horizon

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Best Animated Feature
Kubo and the Two Strings
Moana
My Life as a Zucchini
The Red Turtle
Zootopia

Alternate: Miss Hokusai

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Best Documentary Feature
13th
Cameraperson
The Eagle Huntress
I am Not Your Negro
O.J.: Made In America

Alternate: The Ivory Game

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Best Foreign Language Film
Land of Mine
Paradise
The Salesman
Tanna
Toni Erdmann

Alternate: My Life as a Zucchini

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Best Animated Short
Borrowed Time
The Head Vanishes
Inner Workings
Pearl
Piper

Alternate: Sous Tes Doigts

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Best Documentary Short
Close Ties
Joe’s Violin
The Mute’s House
Watani: My Homeland
The White Helmets

Alternate: Extremis

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Best Live Action Short
Nocturne in Black
The Rifle, the Jackal, the Wolf, and the Boy
Sing (Mindenki)
Timecode
The Way of Tea

Alternate: Graffiti

The nominations for the 89th Academy Awards will be announced at 1:15pm GMT on Tuesday 24th January 2017.

British Academy Film Awards Nominations Predictions

BAFTA

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Best Film
Arrival
La La Land
Lion
Manchester by the Sea
Moonlight

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Best Director
Damien Chazelle- La La Land
Barry Jenkins- Moonlight
Kenneth Lonergan- Manchester by the Sea
Martin Scorsese- Silence
Denis Villeneuve- Arrival

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Best Actor
Casey Affleck- Manchester by the Sea
Joel Edgerton- Loving
Ryan Gosling- La La Land
Andrew Garfield- Hacksaw Ridge
Denzel Washington- Fences

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Best Actress
Amy Adams- Arrival
Ruth Negga- Loving
Natalie Portman- Jackie
Emma Stone- La La Land
Meryl Streep- Florence Foster Jenkins

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Best Supporting Actor
Mahershala Ali- Moonlight
Jeff Bridges- Hell or High Water
Hugh Grant- Florence Foster Jenkins
Lucas Hedges- Manchester by the Sea
Dev Patel- Lion

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Best Supporting Actress
Viola Davis- Fences
Naomie Harris- Moonlight
Nicole Kidman- Lion
Octavia Spencer- Hidden Figures
Michelle Williams- Manchester by the Sea

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Best British Film
A United Kingdom
Florence Foster Jenkins
I, Daniel Blake
Lion
Loving
Sing Street

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Best Original Screenplay
Hell or High Water
Jackie
La La Land
Manchester by the Sea
Moonlight

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Best Adapted Screenplay
Arrival
Fences
Lion
Nocturnal Animals
Silence

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Best Animated Feature
Kubo and the Two Strings
Moana
Zootopia

The BAFTA nominations are announced tomorrow (9/1/17) at 7:35 am GMT.

FINAL Golden Globes 2017 Predictions

Motion Picture Awards

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Best Motion Picture- Drama: Manchester by the Sea
Best Motion Picture- Comedy or Musical: La La Land
Best Director: Damien Chazelle- La La Land
Best Actor- Drama: Casey Affleck- Manchester by the Sea
Best Actress- Drama: Natalie Portman- Jackie
Best Actor- Comedy or Musical: Ryan Gosling- La La Land
Best Actress- Comedy or Musical: Emma Stone- La La Land
Best Supporting Actor: Mahershala Ali- Moonlight
Best Supporting Actress: Viola Davis- Fences
Best Screenplay: Manchester by the Sea
Best Original Score: La La Land
Best Original Song: How Far I’ll Go- Moana
Best Foreign Language Film: Toni Erdmann
Best Animated Film: Zootopia

Television Awards

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Best Drama Series: The Crown
Best Comedy Series: Atlanta
Best Limited Series or Television Movie: The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story
Best Actor- Drama Series: Rami Malek- Mr. Robot
Best Actress- Drama Series: Claire Foy- The Crown
Best Actor- Comedy Series: Donald Glover- Atlanta
Best Actress- Comedy Series: Issa Rae- Insecure
Best Actor- Limited Series or Movie: Riz Ahmed- The Night Of
Best Actress- Limited Series or Movie: Sarah Paulson- The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story
Best Supporting Actor: Sterling K. Brown- The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story
Best Supporting Actress: Thandie Newton- Westworld

The Golden Globe Awards, hosted by Jimmy Fallon, are tonight (8/1/17) at 1am GMT.

SAG Awards Film Nominations Predictions

OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A CAST IN A MOTION PICTURE

Fences
Hell or High Water
La La Land
Manchester by the Sea
Moonlight

OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A MALE ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea
Joel Edgerton, Loving
Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge
Ryan Gosling, La La Land
Denzel Washington, Fences

OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A FEMALE ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
Annette Bening, 20th Century Women
Isabelle Huppert, Elle
Natalie Portman, Jackie
Ruth Negga, Loving
Emma Stone, La La Land

OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A MALE ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Mahershala Ali, Moonlight
Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water
Hugh Grant, Florence Foster Jenkins
Dev Patel, Lion
Michael Shannon, Nocturnal Animals

OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A FEMALE ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Viola Davis, Fences
Greta Gerwig, 20th Century Women
Naomie Harris, Moonlight
Nicole Kidman, Lion
Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea

10 Takeaways from the Golden Globe Film Nominations

The Golden Globes announced their nominations today, and these were a few thoughts I had about the film nominees.

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  1. La La Land, Manchester by the Sea, and Moonlight remain the frontrunners– Receiving nominations in Picture, directing, acting, and writing, it was a very good day for the front-running films. La La Land led the nominations with 7 (Comedy, Gosling, Stone, Director, Screenplay, Score, Song) , while Manchester by the Sea scored 5 (Drama, Affleck, Williams, Director, Screenplay), and Moonlight scored 6 (Drama, Ali, Harris, Director, Screenplay, Score). Bet on La La Land and Moonlight to take the top prizes.Image result for viola davis fences
  2. Fences and Silence fall behind- With a measly 2 nominations between them, the latecomers in the race, Fences and Silence, fall behind in their pursuit to be the potential spoilers to frontrunner La La Land, at the Oscars at least. While stars Denzel Washington and Viola Davis received acting nods, Fences will be disappointed to miss out in Drama, Directing, and Screenplay, while Silence was shut out entirely, shockingly missing in Best Director for Martin Scorsese, while Andrew Garfield was nominated for Hacksaw Ridge rather than Silence.Image result for hacksaw ridge
  3. The Underdogs keep on fighting- Speaking of Hacksaw Ridge, it really staked a claim to be an under the radar Best Picture contender, as it picked up 3 nominations today, including Best Drama, and Best Director for Mel Gibson. The other film that really showed itself to be a real contender this year is Hell or High Water, earning 3 nominations, including Best Drama, and Best Supporting Actor for Jeff Bridges. Expect them both to pick up Best Picture nominations at the Oscars.Image result for simon helberg florence foster jenkins
  4. Florence Foster Jenkins shines- Helped by the separation of drama and comedy films, Florence Foster Jenkins managed to score a very respectable 4 nominations, more than many expected. Nominations in Best Comedy, Best Comedy Actor (Hugh Grant), and Best Comedy Actress (Meryl Streep) were all expected, but a nomination for Simon Helberg in Best Supporting Actor is a welcome surprise, but I doubt he gets anything more than this. If it gets a few SAG and BAFTA nominations, it’s a dark horse.Image result for lily collins rules don't apply
  5. The Curious Case of Rules Don’t Apply- It was widely considered that if Rules Don’t Apply were to get in at the Golden Globes, it would be for Warren Beatty in Best Comedy Actor, with it also having a shot in Best Comedy. However, it missed both of those, and received it’s only nomination in Comedy Actress for Lily Collins, a nomination not many saw coming, especially getting in ahead of Sally Field and Kate Beckinsale.Image result for deadpool
  6. Deadpool bucks the trend- While the HFPA hasn’t been big on comic book films, or early released films for the most part, it didn’t stop Deadpool picking up some major nominations. It was nominated for Best Comedy or Musical, as well as Best Comedy Actor for Ryan Reynolds, coming off it’s wins in the corresponding categories at last night’s Critics’ Choice Awards.Image result for Jonah Hill War Dogs
  7. Jonah Hill, Octavia Spencer, and Aaron Taylor-Johnson among shock nominees- While all the major contenders all received acting nods, there were some nominees that came absolutely out of nowhere, and kudos to anyone who predicted them. They include Jonah Hill for the forgettable War Dogs, Octavia Spencer (ahead of co-star Janelle Monae) for Hidden Figures, Aaron Taylor-Johnson (ahead of co-star Michael Shannon) for Nocturnal Animals, Viggo Mortensen for Captain Fantastic, Hailee Steinfeld (who I correctly predicted) for The Edge of Seventeen, as well as the aforementioned Simon Helberg and Lily Collins.Image result for Tom Hanks Sully
  8. Big Snubs hurt Oscar chances- However, when there’s a surprise nomination, it often means that a major contenders miss out. And even though they weren’t really contenders to win, it’s still surprising to see them not get in. They include Tom Hanks (Sully), Taraji P. Henson (Hidden Figures), Kate Beckinsale (Love & Friendship), Lucas Hedges (Manchester by the Sea), and Greta Gerwig (20th Century Women). They all need SAG nominations to stay in the hunt.Image result for aaron taylor johnson nocturnal animals
  9. Don’t Count out Nocturnal Animals- With recognition in Best Director, Best Screenplay, and Best Supporting Actor, Nocturnal Animals once again looks like a player, despite it’s “marmite” response from critics. I think it definitely gets into Best Adapted Screenplay across the board, but this definitely helps them potentially slot into a few other categories.Image result for greta gerwig 20th century women
  10. SAG will tell us more- And even though it’s helpful to have the Golden Globes give us these tea leaves to help set us up for the season, these aren’t Oscar voters. The SAG nominations on Wednesday are massively important in telling us the state of the race, and just as important will be the DGA and PGA nominations, that will come out in the next month.