Screen Actors Guild Awards 2015- Predictions

Tomorrow at 2:00pm GMT, the first major film nominations of awards season 2015 will be announced as the SAG nominate 5 nominees in each category: Best Actor, Actress, S. Actor, S. Actress and Ensemble. These have a massive say on who will be nominated at the Oscars, and these are my predictions:

Best Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch (The Imitation Game), David Oyelowo (Selma), Eddie Redmayne (The Theory of Everything), Michael Keaton (Birdman), Steve Carell (Foxcatcher).

Best Actress: Amy Adams (Big Eyes), Felicity Jones (The Theory of Everything), Julianne Moore (Still Alice), Reese Witherspoon (Wild), Rosamund Pike (Gone Girl).

Best Supporting Actor: Edward Norton (Birdman), Ethan Hawke (Boyhood), J.K. Simmons (Whiplash), Mark Ruffalo (Foxcatcher), Robert Duvall (The Judge).

Best Supporting Actress: Emma Stone (Birdman), Keira Knightley (The Imitation Game), Laura Dern (Wild), Meryl Streep (Into the Woods), Patricia Arquette (Boyhood).

Best Ensemble: Birdman (Keaton, Stone, Norton, Galifianakis, Ryan, Riseborough, Watts), Boyhood (Coltrane, Linklater, Arquette, Hawke), Foxcatcher (Carell, Tatum, Ruffalo, Miller, Redgrave, Hall), Into the Woods (Blunt, Corden, Streep, Pine, Kendrick, Depp), Selma (Oyelowo, Wilkinson, Roth, Ejogo, Winfrey, Common, Gooding Jr., Ribisi).

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British Independent Film Awards- Predictions

The British Independent Film Awards are tonight so I thought I should give my predictions. I’ve seen a few of the films in contention, but I will predict what I think will win, not what I want to win.

Best British Independent Film: The Imitation Game- This is the only film in the nominees that has a genuine chance at challenging at the Oscars, and is the best film of the nominees. It could be close between TIG and Mr. Turner, but Morten Tyldum’s film should come out on top.

Best Director: Mike Leigh (Mr. Turner)- Always a favourite in the British film industry, Mike Leigh will win here, as his work in Mr. Turner is probably his most acclaimed of his career. John Michael McDonagh may give him a close run, but Leigh will win here again.

Best Debut Director: Yann Demange (’71)- Demange is the only one nominated in both directing categories, so it is pretty much a dead cert that he will win here.

Best Screenplay: Graham Moore (The Imitation Game)- The only one of the nominees who will be nominated in this category at the Oscars, Moore’s accomplished screenplay should see him win here.

Best Actress: Gugu Mbatha-Raw (Belle)- Mbatha-Raw is a newcomer who has taken 2014 by storm with her mature performances in Beyond the Lights and Belle. She will be rewarded by winning here and Keira Knightley will feel hard done by, as she has been put in the wrong category.

Best Actor: Timothy Spall (Mr. Turner)- Spall is a big favourite with British critics and they all love his performance in Mr. Turner. Benedict Cumberbatch’s far superior work in The Imitation Game will be unrewarded here, but he will have many other awards to celebrate as awards season goes on.

Best Supporting Actress: Imelda Staunton (Pride)- Staunton should be pleased that Knightley is in the lead category because otherwise she would have won, as her work is far superior. I wasn’t a massive fan of Staunton in Pride, but the British press love her, and she’ll win here.

Best Supporting Actor: Michael Fassbender (Frank)- This is probably the most difficult category to call, but I can see Fassbender winning here as he is excellent in Frank and it would be nice for them to be able to give an award to an A-lister.

Most Promising Newcomer: Ben Schnetzer (Pride)- Schnetzer has been seen three times in British cinemas this year, in The Book Thief, Pride and The Riot Club, and has impressed each time. Schnetzer is really impressive in Pride, managing to create a believable gay Northern Irish character despite him being American, and he is one to watch for the future.

Best International Independent Film: Boyhood- This is the best film of the year and is universally loved, especially in the UK, and will be a deserved winner here.

For the full list of nominations: http://www.bifa.org.uk/releases/british-independent-film-awards-nominations-2014

Golden Globes Predictions 2015

With one week to go until the nominees are announced for the 71st Golden Globe Awards, I am ready to announce my predictions for the Globes. They have a massive say on who the contenders are going to be at the Oscars, and also an opportunity for those who could miss out on a nod at the Oscars, getting some awards love. Winners in bold.

Best Motion Picture Drama: Boyhood, Gone Girl, Selma, The Imitation Game, Unbroken.

Best Motion Picture Comedy/Musical: Birdman, Inherent Vice, Into the Woods, St. Vincent, The Grand Budapest Hotel.

Best Director: Alejandro G. Inarritu (Birdman), Angelina Jolie (Unbroken),Ava Duvernay (Selma), David Fincher (Gone Girl), Richard Linklater (Boyhood).

Best Actor- Drama: Benedict Cumberbatch (The Imitation Game), David Oyelowo (Selma), Eddie Redmayne (The Theory of Everything), Steve Carell (Foxcatcher), Timothy Spall (Mr. Turner).

Best Actor- Comedy/Musical: Bill Murray (St. Vincent), Chris Rock (Top Five), Joaquin Phoenix (Inherent Vice), Michael Keaton (Birdman), Ralph Fiennes (The Grand Budapest Hotel).

Best Actress- Drama: Felicity Jones (The Theory of Everything), Julianne Moore (Still Alice), Reese Witherspoon (Wild), Rosamund Pike (Gone Girl), Shailene Woodley (The Fault in Our Stars).

Best Actress- Comedy/Musical: Amy Adams (Big Eyes), Angelina Jolie (Maleficent), Emily Blunt (Into the Woods), Julianne Moore (Maps to the Stars), Keira Knightley (Begin Again).

Best Supporting Actor: Edward Norton (Birdman), Ethan Hawke (Boyhood), J.K. Simmons (Whiplash), Mark Ruffalo (Foxcatcher), Miyavi (Unbroken).

Best Supporting Actress: Emma Stone (Birdman), Keira Knightley (The Imitation Game), Laura Dern (Wild), Meryl Streep (Into the Woods), Patricia Arquette (Boyhood).

Best Screenplay: Birdman, Boyhood, Foxcatcher, Gone Girl, The Imitation Game.

Best Animated Feature: Big Hero 6, How To Train Your Dragon 2, The Book of Life, The Boxtrolls, The Lego Movie.

National Board of Review Awards- Reactions

The winners of the National Board of Review Awards have FINALLY been announced after hours of waiting, and out appear so wins I didn’t see coming. Has this widened the field this awards season? They are original and interesting picks, but not the ones you would expect.

Best Film: A Most Violent Year- This came as a shock as I don’t see it as a real Oscar contender. It’s had solid reviews thus far and I know that Clayton Davis at Awards Circuit really likes it and has put it in his list of Best Picture nominees, but I really wasn’t expecting it to win. It’s not really my cup of tea and I’ll probably give it a miss when it is out in cinemas, but it’s a bold pick and one that can really shake up the race.

Best Director: Clint Eastwood (American Sniper)- Oh, come on NBR, stop picking Eastwood. After all the Eastwood-based gags appearing on twitter, I thought that surely he won’t win, and then he does! This is an awful pick, especially with competition from Linklater and Inarritu. At least it wasn’t for Jersey Boys…

Best Actor: Michael Keaton (Birdman) and Oscar Isaac (A Most Violent Year)- Keaton was as expected and deserved: he’s the definite frontrunner for Best Actor at the Oscars. Isaac is a big shock. Once again, he is not a contender at the Oscars and it’s odd seeing him win here. I’m happy for him, though.

Best Actress: Julianne Moore (Still Alice)- This was the obvious choice and the right choice. Moore is almost sure to win her first Oscar for this role, and she is more than deserving: a real talent and one of the best actresses of her generation.

Best Supporting Actor: Edward Norton (Birdman)- It’s so great to see someone else winning and not making this category a forgone conclusion, providing a real challenger to J.K. Simmons. I’m also pleased that Norton is taking on more of these roles- it’s adds real depth to acting and proves that he has incredible range.

Best Supporting Actress: Jessica Chastain (A Most Violent Year)- By winning here, Chastain proves that she is still in with a shout of getting nominated. She’s currently in 6th place in this category, but if she impresses enough critics, she could easily push herself into the top 5.

Breakthrough Performance: Jack O’Connell (Starred Up, Unbroken)- I’m really happy for O’Connell, getting a leading role in a real awards contender without being an A-lister. I’m sure he’ll follow up this award with a BAFTA in the rising star category. He’s really talented and one to watch.

Best Animated Feature: How To Train Your Dragon 2- Quick question: why is this best animated feature when it isn’t in the Top 10 films list and The Lego Movie is? Good selection though.

To see the full list: http://www.awardscircuit.com/2014/12/02/national-board-review-chooses-violent-year-best-film-isaac-chastain-win/

New York Film Critics Circle Awards- Reactions

The winners of the NYFCC awards have just been announced, with some expected results and some massive shocks. Can this shake up the Oscars race? There are still a lot of award shows to get through before the Oscars but, with Golden Globes and SAG nominations being revealed next week, awards season is really hotting up. These are my reactions to the announcement:

Best Picture: Boyhood- I 100% agree with this, Boyhood is by far the best film of the year and I’m really happy it won. Hopefully the NYFCC curse won’t affect it’s chances of picking up Best Picture at the Oscars, but I’m really pleased.

Best Director: Richard Linklater (Boyhood)- completely deserved. Linklater’s dedictation to his work is second-to-none. This should be his in the bag in this category at the major awards.

Best Actor: Timothy Spall (Mr. Turner)- I’m really gutted, Spall really didn’t deserve to win here. I like Tim Spall, but he just wasn’t good enough in Mr. Turner, especially considering the competition. Keaton, Redmayne, Cumberbatch, Carell and Oyelowo should all feel robbed.

Best Actress: Marion Cotillard (Two Days One Night, The Immigrant)- This was a real shock, but not undeserved. Cotillard is an incredible talent and proved it in these two films. I’m glad she won here as she’ll get little to no love elsewhere as Julianne Moore will dominate this category.

Best Supporting Actor: J.K. Simmons (Whiplash)- Simmons cements his place as the one to beat and winning here proves that he is going to take awards season by storm. It’s really nice to see a talented character actor like him taking the limelight.

Best Supporting Actress: Patricia Arquette (Boyhood)- As expected and thoroughly deserved. Her performance is touching, funny and full of heart. I hope she sweeps the board in this category.

Best Screenplay: The Grand Budapest Hotel- Hats off to anyone who predicted this. That said, The Grand Budapest Hotel is terrifically written and a lot funnier than the other films in contention. Expect a Best Original Screenplay nod at the Oscars.

Best First Feature: The Babadook- I was expecting Nightcrawler to win here, but it’s still a decent pick.

Best Cinematography: The Immigrant- Birdman and Mr. Turner would have been better picks, but it’s a decent shout that shows their is originality in awards season.

Selma, Birdman, The Imitation Game, Foxcatcher, Gone Girl and The Theory of Everything should be felt hard done to be snubbed, but Boyhood deserves it’s awards- they’re massively deserved for this monumental achievement.

Independent Spirit Awards Nominations- Reactions

The nominees have been announced for the first major award ceremonies of the season: The Independent Spirit Awards. Looking down the list of nominees, there are some that are well deserved, some that are confusing and some that are infuriating. Could this be a stepping stone towards the Oscars? The full list: http://www.awardscircuit.com/2014/11/25/independent-spirit-awards-go-crazy-boyhood-birdman-selma/ (SPOILER: My predictions were WAY off).

Best Feature: This is a category they more or less got right: nominating 4 of the main contenders for Best Picture and all featuring in my Top 10 predictions for Best Picture. The only puzzling one is Love is Strange that has been nominated ahead of the likes of A Most Violent Year, Foxcatcher and Nightcrawler. As it happens, from the trailer it looks promising, but it is nowhere near the calibre of the other films in contention. It will be a close tustle between Boyhood and Birdman but Linklater’s masterpiece should win.

Best Director: Another solid selection, with the same 4 deserving nominees for Best Feature getting a mention hear, aswell as David Zellner for Kumiko, The Treasure Hunter. I haven’t actually heard of Kumiko, The Treasure Hunter but after looking at some reviews, it’s reasonably critically acclaimed and was a big hit at Sundance. I would have thought that Bennett Miller or J.C. Chandor would get a nod but as Miller has won the ‘Special Distinction Award’ and J.C. Chandor was nominated in the screenplay category, you can see why they nominated Zellner. It will be an easy win for Richard Linklater, though, and completely deserved.

Best Male Lead: This was an odd one as they seem like they were just paving the way for Michael Keaton to win, which he will, by not nominating some of the year’s best performers: Oscar Isaac, Steve Carell, Bill Hader and Bill Murray. It’s even more odd to see Andre Benjamin nominated for the blink-and-you’ll-miss-it Jimi Hendrix biopic All is By My Side. David Oyelowo and Jake Gyllenhaal will give Keaton a tough battle, but it’s his to lose.

Best Female Lead: With only two nominees matching up to the ones I predicted, this category is a bit of a farce with the most obvious winner in a category you’ll see all awards season: Julianne Moore for Still Alice. No one else has a chance, especially as Reese Witherspoon, Amy Adams and Kristen Wiig were all snubbed who were the only real challengers to Moore. I’d reccomend putting your entire bank account on Moore winning.

Best Supporting Male: This is a three horse race between Norton, Hawke and Simmons, the latter of which is likely to take home gold. The other nominees are strange ones: two British actors: Riz Ahmed and Alfred Molina. It’s great to see British talent being recognised, but where are Mark Ruffalo and Alec Baldwin? I honestly thought that Molina was put into the lead category. It won’t matter though as Simmons will win.

Best Supporting Female: As soon as odds were announced, Patricia Arquette has been the favourite in this category- and she’ll win here. 4 of the 5 were expected and the other 1, Andrea Suarez Paz, I hadn’t heard of. Laura Dern should be disappointed, though, as it could effect her chances of an Oscar nomination.

Overall, I’m pretty disappointed by the list of nominees as the winners appear to be to easy to predict as they missed of some big names and some big films. The lack of nominations for The Skeleton Twins, Foxcatcher, St. Vincent, Wild and Inherent Vice is disappointing especially.

Independent Spirit Awards 2015 Predictions

Like my BAFTA predictions, I’m doing my predictions for the Independent Spirit Awards 2015 with limited materials. The GoldDerby page is yet to come up so there are no odds so far but I’ll give it my best stab based on the films in contention, mainly thanks to awardscircuit.com.(http://www.awardscircuit.com/2014/11/24/oscar-circuit-independent-spirit-awards-preview/) Note: There are no British films in contention (except in the international categories) ,only American films, so there will be no The Imitation Game or The Theory of Everything and no films that aren’t indies so no Unbroken or Interstellar.

Best Feature: A Most Violent Year, Birdman, Boyhood, Foxcatcher, Whiplash.

Best Director: Alejandro G. Inarritu (Birdman), Bennett Miller (Foxcatcher), Damien Chazelle (Whiplash), J.C. Chandor (A Most Violent Year), Richard Linklater (Boyhood).

Best Male Lead: Bill Hader (The Skeleton Twins), Bill Murray (St.Vincent), Jake Gyllenhaal (Nightcrawler), Michael Keaton (Birdman), Steve Carell (Foxcatcher).

Best Female Lead: Jenny Slate (Obvious Child), Jessica Chastain (The Disappearance of Eleanor Rigby), Julianne Moore (Still Alice), Kristen Wiig (The Skeleton Twins), Reese Witherspoon (Wild).

Best Supporting Male: Alec Baldwin (Still Alice), Edward Norton (Birdman), Ethan Hawke (Birdman), J.K. Simmons (Whiplash), Mark Ruffalo (Foxcatcher).

Best Supporting Female: Emma Stone (Birdman), Jessica Chastain (A Most Violent Year), Laura Dern (Wild), Patricia Arquette (Boyhood), Vanessa Redgrave (Foxcatcher).

Best First Feature: Dear White People, Nightcrawler, Obvious Child, Rosewater, St. Vincent.

Best International Film: Ida, Leviathan, The Imitation Game, The Theory of Everything, Two Days One Night.